Groundhog Day 2025: Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow? What time is the prediction?

New York’s Staten Island. Groundhog Day is synonymous with his name.

On Sunday morning, Punxsutawney Phil, the pride of Pennsylvania, will greet guests for his Groundhog Day forecast.

You can see it online if you can’t visit Gobbler’s Knob, where he has been making his calls since 1886.

Around 7:15 a.m., Phil is anticipated to deliver his forecast.

Looking for another prediction?

At 8:30 a.m. on Sunday, Phil’s primary opponent, Staten Island Chuck, will make his forecast from the Staten Island Zoo in West Brighton. The ceremony will start at 8 a.m., with gates opening at 7:30 a.m.

The prediction will be covered by Advance/SILive.com. That ceremony is available to view on our Facebook page.

Accuracy rate

Chuck and Phil expected an early spring in 2024, despite their disagreements in previous years. Local kids claim that Chuck was right in his prognosis, and we assume Phil was as well. By examining data from their school’s weather station, Susan E. Wagner High School students supported Chuck’s 2024 projection. Since Chuck’s February prediction, they have taken daily temperature readings and recorded them in a chart. Chuck’s prognosis of an early spring was confirmed by their findings, which showed that the great majority of days since his prediction that year had temperatures of 40 degrees or higher.

From February 2 to March 20, schoolchildren will once more monitor the local weather to see if Chuck’s prediction comes true.

Phil has a 39% overall accuracy rating over 135 years, according to the StormFax Weather Almanac.

Chuck, on the other hand, has been tracking the weather since 1981 and has an accuracy rate of 85%. On average, the Chuckster is right four times out of five.

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Groundhog Day s history

Candlemas, an early Christian feast in which candles were blessed and given, is where the Groundhog Day custom originated. Those who observed Candlemas came to the conclusion that a longer winter would result from clear skies on the holiday.

Eventually, the Germans came to think that a hedgehog would cast a shadow on Candlemas Day if the sun appeared, foretelling six more weeks of severe winter weather. And this belief was introduced to the United States by the Germans.

There were a lot of groundhogs in Pennsylvania when German settlers first arrived. Additionally, they gave the groundhog—which looks a lot like the European hedgehog—the role of forecasting the weather.

The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, established in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, in 1887, is credited with establishing the festival. One of the club’s members, the editor of the Punxsutawney newspaper, asserted that Punxsutawney Phil was the sole real weather-predicting groundhog.

For almost thirty years, Chuck has been making predictions; some years have been more eventful than others.

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