New York’s Staten Island — This year, perhaps that groundhog had a point.
The first week of February appears to be a change of pace following a historically dry and startlingly chilly January for New York City, according to AccuWeather.
The prognosis for the upcoming week calls for daily highs to start rising into the high to mid-40s, while daily lows will mostly remain above freezing, with a few outliers, in the low 30s.
Temperatures will be near 50 degrees on Monday and Tuesday, with some sunlight peeking through the clouds.
On Tuesday, however, the AccuWeather forecast predicts heavy winds with gusts of up to 36 mph on both days.
Wednesday will see a return to season-normal conditions following that digression into springtime weather. A storm is expected to bring sleet and freezing rain from Wednesday night into Thursday, with temperatures hovering around 32 degrees.
According to AccuWeather, Thursday’s highs will return to the mid-to-high 40s, with sporadic showers, the potential for thunderstorms, and wind gusts of up to 30 mph.
According to AccuWeather, there will be some sun on Friday and Saturday, with temperatures staying mostly stable between the mid-30s and low-40s. There will also be wind gusts and a risk of showers late on Saturday.
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center issued its most recent forecast for February on Friday, indicating a continued confidence in high temperatures for New York for the remainder of the month.
According to the revised prediction for January 31, there is a 40–50% chance that temperatures in New York City will be above average. But although the original forecast from mid-January only provided the city this kind of chance, the odds now favor above-average temperatures for the entire state.
The Climate Prediction Center has published its monthly precipitation outlook in addition to its temperature outlook.
At the moment, there is an equal likelihood of below- or above-average precipitation in both Long Island and New York City.
The majority of upstate New York is expected to experience above-average precipitation levels in the upcoming weeks, so that is not the case throughout the entire state.
There is a 33–40% possibility that precipitation levels will be above average across the majority of the Hudson Valley and Capital Region. With a 40–50% chance, those odds are more favorable for such conditions further north and west in places like Central New York and the Finger Lakes.
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